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Final Programme
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Sun 19/06 |
Mon 20/06 |
Tue 21/06 |
Wed 22/06 |
08:30-09:30 |
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Formal Opening |
Parallel Sessions 4 |
Parallel Sessions 6 |
09:30-10:00 |
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breakfast |
breakfast |
breakfast |
10:00-11:00 |
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Plenary Session 1 |
Plenary Session 4 |
Plenary Session 6 |
11:00-12:00 |
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Parallel Sessions 1 |
Parallel Sessions 5 |
Parallel Sessions 7 |
12:00-13:00 |
ASTIN Committee meeting and lunch |
Plenary Session 2 |
Plenary Session 5 |
Plenary Session 7 |
13:00-14:00 |
lunch |
lunch |
lunch |
14:00-15:00 |
Parallel Sessions 2 |
afternoon excursion dinner included
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Plenary Session 8 |
15:00-16:00 |
Plenary Session 3 |
Plenary Session 9 |
16:00-16:30 |
break |
break |
16:30-17:30 |
Help Desk & Registration |
Parallel Sessions 3 Speakers Corner |
Parallel Sessions 8 Speakers Corner |
17:30-18:30 |
ASTIN General Assembly |
Parallel Sessions 9 Speakers Corner |
18:30-19:30 |
Closing |
20:30-23:30 |
Welcome Reception |
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Gala Dinner |
Monday 20
Plenary Session 1 @ 10:00 - 11:00 : Alejandro Balbás
Risk Measures and the Role of Derivatives in Risk Minimization
Parallel Session 1 @ 11:00 - 12:00
ASTIN | Auditorium | Risk Margin for a Non-Life Insurance Run-Off Mario V. Wuthrich , Paul Embrechts , Andreas Tsanakasy | | | Development Pattern and Prediction Error for the Stochastic Bornhuetter-Ferguson Claims Reserving Method Annina Saluz, Alois Gisler, Mario Wuthrich | | | Bornhuetter-Ferguson Reserving Method with Repricing Alois Gisler, Annina Saluz, Mario V. Wüthrich | | Castellana 1 | Pricing in Microinsurance Markets Christian Biener | AFIR | Castellana 2 | MARKET-CONSISTENT REPLICATION OF INSURANCE LIABILITIES IN A MULTIPLE RISK ECONOMY Werner Hürlimann | | | The mechanics of actuarial and risk management – role of actuarial and risk management in the financial services sector Martin Tarusenga | | | To hedge or not o hedge that is the problem Ricardo A. Tagliafichi |
Plenary Session 2 @ 12:00 - 13:00 : Paul Embrechts
Risk Aggregation and Diversification: Issues and Pitfalls
Parallel Session 2 @ 14:00 - 15:00
ASTIN | Auditorium | Explicit ruin formulas for models with dependence among risks Corina Constantinescu | | | On the distortion of a copula and its margins Emiliano A. Valdez, Yugu Xiao | | | Simulation of High-Dimensional T-Student Copula Gerard Torrent | | Castellana 1 | CLIMATE CHANGE AND RESOURCE DEPLETION: THE CHALLENGE FOR ACTUARIES (REVIEW OF LITERATURE) S.D. Baxter, O.D. Bettis, S.J.R. Brimblecombe, C.A. Fitzgerald, Dr. S. Harrison, V.J. Hodge, B.P. Maher, P.G. Meins, A. Mookerjee. L. Perroy and N.G. Silver | | | The financial crisis – risk transfer, insurance layers and (no?) reinsurance culture Michael Fackler | AFIR | Castellana 2 | The Impact of Policyholder Behavior on Pricing, Hedging, and Hedge Efficiency of Withdrawal Benefit Guarantees in Variable Annuities Alexander Kling, Frederik Ruez, Jochen Ruß | | | The Impact of Introducing Insurance Guaranty Schemes on Pricing and Capital Structures Hato Schmeiser, Joël Wagner | | | Policyholder Exercise Behavior for Variable Annuities including Guaranteed Minimum Withdrawal Benefits Thorsten Moenig |
Plenary Session 3 @ 15:00 - 16:00 : Pierre Devolder
Solvency Measure for Pension Liabilities : Time, Inflation and Longevity Aspects
Parallel Session 3 @ 16:30 - 17:30
AFIR | Auditorium | Market Consistent Valuation of Long Term Insurance Portfolios Jan-Philipp Schmidt | | | Cash flow-based valuation of insurance liabilities Teemu Pennanen | ASTIN | Castellana 1 | Multirisks models in discrete time Anna Castañer, M. Mercè Claramunt, Claude Lefèvre | | | Actuarial Applications of Distance-Based Generalized Linear Models Eva Boj, Josep Fortiana, Anna Esteve, M. M. Claramunt, T. Costa | | | Index of Ranking for bonus-malus system José A. Álvarez Jareño, Prudencio Muñiz Rodríguez | | Castellana 2 | The Retrospective Testing of Stochastic Loss Reserve Models Glenn Meyers, Peng Shi | | | Diagonal effects in claims reserving Niels Rietdorf, Anders Hedegaard Jessen | | | Provisions for loss adjustment expenses Niels Rietdorf, Anders Hedegaard Jessen |
Tuesday 21
Parallel Session 4 @ 08:30 - 09:30
AFIR | Auditorium | ADJUSTED FORWARD RATES WITHIN TWO THEORY OF INTEREST RATES Joseba Iñaki De La Peña Esteban, Eduardo Trigo Martínez, Rafael Moreno Ruiz, Iván Iturricastillo Plazaola | | | Financial Planning and Risk-Return Profiles Stefan Graf, Alexander Kling, Jochen Russ | ASTIN | Castellana 1 | Implementing a Solvency II internal model: Bayesian stochastic reserving and Parameter Estimation MARCO PIRRA, SALVATORE FORTE, MATTEO IALENTI | | | Calendar Year Reserves in the Multivariate Additive Model Alexander Ludwig, Klaus D. Schmidt | | | A Model Study about the Applicability of the Chain Ladder Method Magda Schiegl | AFIR | Castellana 2 | Heterogeneity: measure integrating risk of estimate in the case of a modeling of the observable factors Frédéric Planchet, Aymric Kamega | | | Pricing S-forwards via the Risk Margin under Solvency II Susanna Levantesi, Massimiliano Menzietti, Tiziana Torri | | | Bargaining for Over-The-Counter Risk Redistributions: The Case of Longevity Risk Tim Boonen, Anja De Waegenaere, Henk Norde |
Plenary Session 4 @ 10:00 - 11:00 : David Wilkie
Real-world Economic Scenario Generators
Parallel Session 5 @ 11:00 - 12:00
AFIR | Auditorium | Decomposing Hedge Effectiveness in Longevity Hedges Andrew J.G. Cairns, Kevin Dowd, David Blake, and Guy D. Coughlan | | | Consistent Dynamic Affine Model for Mortality and Longevity Risk Applications Craig Blackburn, Michael Sherris | | | INVESTIGATION OF HEDGING STRATEGIES BETWEEN ASSURANCES AND ANNUITIES FOR THE PURPOSE OF MITIGATING LONGEVITY RISK Frans Koning, Stefan Bekker | ASTIN | Castellana 1 | Non parametric approach to analyzing operational risk losses Catalina Bolancé, Mercedes Ayuso, Montserrat Guillén | | | Count Data Modeling with Multifractal Processes Jean-Philippe Boucher, Donatien Hainaut | | | Applications of convex optimization in premium rating Dimitri Semenovich, Ian Heppell | AFIR | Castellana 2 | PRUDENCE REVISITED: THE USE OF EXPECTED-UTILITY THEORY FOR DECISION-MAKING BY THE TRUSTEES OF A RETIREMENT FUND Robert J. Thomson | | | A Note on Life-cycle Funds Stefan Graf | | | A Joint Valuation of Premium Payment and Surrender Options in Participating Life Insurance Contracts Hato Schmeiser, Joël Wagner |
Plenary Session 5 @ 12:00 - 13:00 : David Ingram
Choices and Choosing: ERM and Rational Adaptability
Afternoon excursion @ 14:30 - 23:00
Organ concert & Choir School
at the
Royal Monastery of San Lorenzo de El Escorial
Wednesday 22
Parallel Session 6 @ 08:30 - 09:30
AFIR | Auditorium | Analyzing Surplus Appropriation Schemes in Participating Life Insurance from the Insurer’s and the Policyholder’s Perspective Alexander Bohnert, Nadine Gatzert | | | The Impact of Mortality Risk on a Life Insurer’s Risk Situation and Risk
Management Nadine Gatzert, Hannah Wesker | | | A Stochastic Mortality Model based on Smoking prevalence Torsten Kleinow, Andrew J. G. Cairns | ASTIN | Castellana 1 | A credibility method for profitable cross-selling of insurance products Fredrik Thuring | | | On a Hierarchical Credibility Model for Quantiles Georgios Pitselis | | | Multicollinearity in credibility regression models Andrey Kudryavtsev | | Castellana 2 | INSURANCE RISK ECONOMIC CAPITAL FOR EXCESS-OF-LOSS CONTRACTS WITH AN INFLATION STABILITY CLAUSE Werner Hürlimann | | | Managing exposure to reinsurance credit risk Yuriy Krvavych | | | A two-dimensional risk model with proportional reinsurance Andrei Badescu |
Plenary Session 6 @ 10:00 - 11:00 : José María Sarabia
A General Methodology for Enriching a Family of Distributions with Applications in Insurance
Parallel Session 7 @ 11:00 - 12:00
AFIR | Auditorium | THE CAPM RECONSIDERED: TESTS IN REAL TERMS ON A SOUTH AFRICAN MARKET PORTFOLIO COMPRISING EQUITIES AND BONDS Taryn L. Reddy, Robert J. Thomson | | | ON THE ANALYTICAL EVALUATION OF THE INSURANCE MARKET RISK TARGET CAPITAL Werner Hürlimann | ASTIN | Castellana 1 | Claims Development Result in the Paid-Incurred Chain Reserving Method Sebastian Happ , Michael Merzy, Mario V. WuthricH | | | Double Chain Ladder María Dolores Martínez Miranda, Jens Perch Nielsen, Richard Verrall | | | Double Chain Ladder and Bornhuetter-Ferguson María Dolores Martínez Miranda, Jens Perch Nielsen, Richard Verrall | | Castellana 2 | Bayesian Graduation. A Fresh View Enrique de Alba, Ricardo Andrade | | | Health care insurance pricing when the healthy and sick periods form an alternating renewal process with stochastic force of interest Franck ADEKAMBI |
Plenary Session 7 @ 12:00 - 13:00 : Jean Lemaire
The Impact of Culture and Political Risk on Non-Life Insurance
Plenary Session 8 @ 14:00 - 15:00 : Michael Sherries
Enterprise Risk Management, Insurer Value Maximisation and Market Frictions
Plenary Session 9 @ 15:00 - 16:00 : Jean Berthon
Finance: To Be Ethical or Not To Be
Parallel Session 8 @ 16:30 - 17:30
AFIR | Auditorium | IFRS Convergence in Japan: The Past and Present Impact for the Values in the Stock Market and Forward Looking Thoughts Miwaka Yamashita | | | Delta and Gamma Hedging of Mortality and Interest Rate Risk Elisa Luciano, Luca Regis, Elena Vigna | | | A stochastic model for the sustainable investment policy in a defined benefit pension fund Giuseppina Cannas, Giovanni Masala, Marco Micocci | ASTIN | Castellana 1 | Multi-Year Enterprise Risk Management based on Internal Models Dorothea Diers | | | A correlation analysis for non life underwriting module SCR Lluís Bermúdez, Antoni Ferri, Montserrat Guillén | | | Sustainability of Earnings: A Framework for Quantitative Modeling of Strategy, Risk, and Value Neil M. Bodoff | | Castellana 2 | Dividend problems in the dual risk model Lourdes B. Afonso, Rui M.R. Cardoso, Alfredo D. Egídio dos Reis | | | Measuring the Impact of Inflation on the undiscounted Loss Reserves René Stephan | | | Inflation and excess insurance Michael Fackler |
Parallel Session 9 @ 17:30 - 18:30
AFIR | Auditorium | A COMPLETE MODEL OF GENERAL DYNAMIC IMMUNIZATION Iván Iturricastillo Plazaola, Joseba Iñaki De La Peña Esteban, Rafael Moreno Ruiz, Eduardo Trigo Martínez | | | Model Uncertainty and its Impact on Solvency Measurement in Property-Liability Insurance Hato Schmeiser, Caroline Siegel, Joël Wagner | ASTIN | Castellana 1 | METHODOLOGY IN SIMULATION ESTIMATION OF COLLECTIVE RISK IN NON-LIFE INSURANCE Jozef Hajnala | | | Stochastic Claim Reserving Based on CRM for Solvency II Purposes Gian Paolo Clemente, Nino Savelli | | | Modelling Dependence in Insurance Claims Processes with Levy Copulas Benjamin Avanzi, Luke C. Cassara, Bernard Wong | AFIR | Castellana 2 | Stock vs Mutual Insurers:Who Does and Who Should Charge More Alexander Braun, Przemyslaw Rymaszewski, Hato Schmeiser | | | Hedging Mortality Risk through Portfolio Composition: A Comprehensive Risk Analysis Nadine Gatzert, Hannah Wesker |
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